Simulation Lab
Policy scenario engine
Test how adjustments in debt service reprioritization, disease burden, workforce expansion, vaccination, inflation, and donor funding shifts may change coverage, resilience, and financial protection.
Coverage
61.0%
Resilience
71.0
Budget pool
$28.2B
Debt service
11.3%
Baseline vs scenario outcomes
Scenario balance radar
Cluster allocation view
Executive comparison
| Metric | Baseline | Scenario |
|---|---|---|
| Coverage | 58.2% | 61.0% |
| Resilience | 68.4 | 71.0 |
| Donor dependency | 19.6% | 20.7% |
| Per capita spending | $116.00 | $118.15 |
| Budget pool | $27.6B | $28.2B |
| Debt service | 12.0% | 11.3% |
Scenario narrative
Fiscal shift: A 3% reallocation of debt service toward primary care creates additional fiscal space for frontline delivery.
Health effect: Coverage improves by 2.8 percentage points, while resilience moves by 2.6 points.
Risk note: Donor dependency rises under this scenario, so implementation risk increases if external flows weaken.
Ministerial takeaway: For Mauritania, this scenario is most useful for discussing the trade-off between short-term fiscal stress and longer-term system resilience.